The Dawn of the Killer Robots? Examining Autonomous Weapons in Ukraine
The battlefields of Ukraine have become a grim testing ground for the future of warfare. From whispers of AI-guided drones selecting targets to unsettling reports of autonomous ground vehicles retrieving the wounded, a new era is unfolding – one where machines may increasingly decide who lives and dies. This collection of video analyses dives into the escalating development and deployment of autonomous weapons systems (AWS) in the Russia-Ukraine war, examining the technology, the implications, and the urgent questions surrounding their use. Are we witnessing the birth of a truly "deadly new era"? The footage and expert opinions compiled here offer a chilling glimpse into this evolving reality.
Key Takeaways From the Front Lines of Autonomous Warfare
AI’s Expanding Battlefield Role: AI is no longer a futuristic concept in warfare; it’s actively shaping the conflict in Ukraine. Algorithms are analyzing vast amounts of data, assisting commanders in targeting decisions, and even controlling autonomous weaponry. This raises profound ethical questions about human oversight and accountability in the age of algorithmic warfare.
UGVs on the Ground: Ukrainian-developed unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs) like the D-21-11 showcase the multifaceted potential of these systems. While capable of carrying weapons, these robots are also being used for essential tasks like medical evacuation and supply delivery, demonstrating their utility beyond direct combat roles.
A New Arms Race? The use of AI in the Ukraine war is fueling concerns about a global AI arms race. As nations strive for technological dominance, the development and deployment of AWS could escalate dramatically, posing significant risks to global security and stability.
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The Struggle for Regulation: While the international community grapples with the implications of autonomous weapons, the reality on the ground is moving faster than the pace of regulation. The videos highlight the urgent need for international agreements and ethical frameworks to govern the development and deployment of these potentially devastating weapons.
The Human Cost of Algorithmic Warfare: Emerging Trends
The videos point to a disturbing trend: the increasing automation of killing. While proponents argue about the potential precision of AWS and the reduction of human casualties on the "friendly" side, the reality of autonomous systems making life-or-death decisions on the battlefield raises a host of ethical and practical concerns. Will these systems be able to reliably distinguish between combatants and civilians? What happens when algorithms malfunction or are targeted by cyberattacks? The implications are profound, demanding careful consideration and urgent international dialogue. Furthermore, the proliferation of smaller, cheaper drones, while impacting the current battlefield, is predicted to be short-lived, with larger, more sophisticated—and potentially autonomous—systems expected to take their place. This could dramatically shift the balance of power and further blur the lines of accountability in future conflicts.
The Future of War is Now: Watch and Learn
The videos presented here offer a stark and unflinching look at the evolving landscape of warfare. Scroll down to watch these vital reports and gain a deeper understanding of the challenges and dangers posed by the rise of autonomous weapons systems. The future of war, it seems, is already upon us.
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Fully Autonomous Weapon Systems – The technology, capability and controversy of robots at warPerun301,281 views | 16,842 | June 30 2024 12:01:46 (1,629 comments)[ Read more … ]
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For all the changes we’ve seen in weapon systems, the role of humans as the key decision makers when it comes to the use of force has remained.
But what happens when machines develop to the point where they are increasingly able to perceive the battlefield and make that decision for themselves.
As the AI rush plays out, compute becomes cheaper and battlefield pressures play out, nations may face increasing pressure to unleash autonomous systems from their human handlers. So in this episode we discuss the potential of these systems, some of the advantages and pressures that might drive their development…and what the prospect for international regulation might be before the killer robots start to take the field in significant numbers.
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Caveats, Comments and Corrections:
All normal caveats and disclaimers apply
In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other decisions or purposes
Sources & Reading (limited as I was ill – may update in coming week)
Submission by the Russian Federation – Approaches of the Russian Federation to the issue of emerging technologies in the area of lethal autonomous weapons systems
Final report of the Panel of Experts on Libya established pursuant to Security Council resolution 1973 (2011) – Dated 8 March 2021
https://documents.un.org/doc/undoc/gen/n21/037/72/pdf/n2103772.pdf?token=xJC2PHgGvDGWD55OB1&fe=true
DoD FY 2024 Budget Estimates – Air Force – RDT&E
https://www.saffm.hq.af.mil/Portals/84/documents/FY24/Research%20and%20Development%20Test%20and%20Evaluation/FY24%20Air%20Force%20Research%20and%20Development%20Test%20and%20Evaluation%20Vol%20II.pdf?ver=pYOQLrjX71gVe8w6FCJOwg%3D%3D#page=500
USNI – Defense Primer: U.S. Policy on Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems
https://news.usni.org/2022/11/17/defense-primer-u-s-policy-on-lethal-autonomous-weapon-systems
CRS – International Discussions Concerning Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems
https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11294
Small drones will soon lose combat advantage, French Army chief says
https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2024/06/19/small-drones-will-soon-lose-combat-advantage-french-army-chief-says/
IAI – Harpy Anti-Radiation Autonomous Weapon
https://www.iai.co.il/p/harpy
https://www.iai.co.il/sites/default/files/2023-06/HARPY%20Brochure.pdf
Epoch AI piece on GPU performance
https://epochai.org/blog/trends-in-gpu-price-performance
Kangaroos vs Self Driving Cars
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/jul/01/volvo-admits-its-self-driving-cars-are-confused-by-kangaroos
Javglevskaja & Liivoja – Balancing the lopsided debate on autonomous weapon systems
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/balancing-the-lopsided-debate-on-autonomous-weapon-systems/
Timestamps:
00:00 — Opening Words
00:47 — What Am I Talking About?
03:19 — The Emergence Of Autonomy
07:15 — Human Out Of The Loop Operation
13:33 — Tactical Advantages And Application
22:25 — Pressures For Deployment
32:04 — A Path Towards Regulation?
45:36 — Channel Update
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Ukrainian New Weapons. Ground Vehicle D-21-11: Killer Robot, MedEvac and Frontline Delivery SystemUNITED24376,980 views | 6,612 | June 15 2024 14:00:15 (297 comments)[ Read more … ]
UGVs are just starting to be used in large numbers. But with the war becoming ever-more deadly, robots like the D-21-11 are set to provide some much-needed relief for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, where many soldiers are now well into their third year of war. They can be fitted with a machine gun and used to assault, but also to evacuate dead or wounded as well as bring supplies to the trenches.
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AI War: Ukraine v Russia the dawn of a new arms raceChannel 4 News108,229 views | 1,008 | July 7 2023 11:11:07 (205 comments)[ Read more … ]
Kyiv says it’s using artificial intelligence to target Russian positions and counter Moscow’s firepower advantage – with some claiming Ukraine is the “first digital war” and the dawn of a deadly AI arms race.
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With superpowers battling for AI supremacy, experts say artificial intelligence will “completely change the entire frameworks on which we base war”.
So, is it too late to avoid an age of AI conflict or can international lawmakers come together to reign in the rise of artificial intelligence?
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3 of the MOST HIGH-TECH Ukrainian Military Technologies | Ukraine Russian WarStringCheeseTheory2,819 views | 55 | July 23 2023 17:10:07 (1 comments)[ Read more … ]
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The war in Ukraine is marked by advanced technology, and three impactful pieces stand out. Firstly, AI Warfare involves analyzing vast data to aid field commanders and control autonomous weaponry. Secondly, AI Drones use target selection for lethal actions, raising ethical concerns over autonomous weapons. Lastly, the secure chat system eVorog allows Ukrainian civilians to provide military intelligence, revolutionizing how AI gathers information on troop movements and supplies.
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How The Russia-Ukraine War Is Changing Warfare FOREVERCaleb McMurtrey Appx1,059 views | 25 | April 17 2024 16:55:54 (8 comments)[ Read more … ]
Let’s take a look at a recent article in Foreign Policy diving into how the US Army is learning from the Russia-Ukraine war. This article discusses the different ways that war is changing forever, and how the Army is working to adapt the force for a true 21st century war.
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Drone Warfare Just Got Deadlier | System ErrorVICE Asia65,571 views | 905 | April 15 2022 15:30:06 (127 comments)[ Read more … ]Drone warfare has transformed combat. Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the Ukrainian air force utilised Turkish-made drones to offset some of Russia’s enormous military advantage.
Drones are also incorporating more A.I. Now “slaughterbots” don’t just exist in science fiction. Autonomous drones may have been used in Libya and governments are pouring billions into their development.
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